think of this as a bingo card for the next year. (listed points are neither endorsements nor judgments.)
by the end of the year technical solutions will be possible that we could not have imagined or thought of at the beginning of the year - sounds obvious, but will be groundbreaking
this includes - but is not limited to - the world of AI
custom chipsets from and for hyperscalers will bring incredible performance boost and efficiency (like Google’s Willow)
power consumption and hard-to-achieve climate goals in the time of ai model trainings will be a big discussion point
two types of companies will diverge even further: those fully endorsing AI as an enabling platform vs. those grumbling about governance and risks
(private) on-device AI models will expand and thrive in sectors like robotics, IoT, healthcare
AI agents will continue to be a buzzword, as companies (slowly) figure out their implementation and usefulness
layoffs in hyper-inflated big tech companies will happen (to reduce costs and/or be automated by AI)
there will likely be more violence or uprisings among inequality across the world and between societal groups
sovereignty at macro- and micro-level will become an even bigger topic
macro: the big industries (US, APAC, EU) will increasingly work towards sovereign technology (chip manufacturing, software stack, data centers, etc.)
micro: more off-grid homes; private or shared (solar) power grids with battery systems; satellite internet; etc.
the EU will hit record-low growth and economy numbers due to regulation, work ethic, and lack of startup support (see eu-inc.org)
AI-supported private health checks will massively expand (like neko health)
more open source companies will change their licensing due to investor pressure (from the Redis, Elasticsearch, WordPress playbook)
bring your own cloud (BYOC) will expand for SaaS companies
more startups will race to space (rockets, micro satellites, orbit data centers)
more companies will relocate from high-cost metropolitan areas to smaller, emerging semi-urban hubs
following the continous bad news avalanches, more people will begin to tune out and ignore the news
maybe we figure out a way for more local communities that go beyond the basic idea of yet another run club